Election '08 by Gus, Part 9

Forecast performance:

Indiana-

Forecast: Clinton over Obama, 52-48
Reality: Clinton over Obama, 51-49

consensus estimates had a 7 pt Clinton victory, so I thought I was being pretty aggressive calling 52-48.

North Carolina-

Forecast: Obama over Clinton, 57-43
Reality: Obama over Clinton, 56-42

Pretty much in line with consensus forecasts.

Well, that's it for Clinton, unless Obama is suddenly discovered to be Client #10 in the immediate near future. She may soldier on, but I don't know where she's going to get money, and I have to believe pretty much everyone in the Democratic party is going to lean on her to quit gracefully and soon.

Frankly, I think her ambition of being President is going to wind up being yet another casualty of Bill Clinton's inability to keep it in his pants. She and Al Gore will have the rest of their lives to sip hot toddies on the veranda and commiserate about that. Along with the rest of us.

And all this talk of an Obama-Clinton ticket to me is ridiculous. They'd make a terrible working partnership, especially after such a long and deeply personal campaign against each other. I'm still holding out for Bill Richardson as Obama's running mate, to help bring the Hispanic community more solidly in the Democratic camp, thereby forcing the Republican party to either moderate the shit out of itself or face electoral frustration for a nice long time.

Either way's fine by me.